Dysin Mayo
2025-26· Data as of July 27, 2026
Status derived from CBA rules; edge cases (Group 6 UFA, 10.2(c), 35+ contracts) may be misclassified. Years remaining are not yet tracked.
Not enough games yet to value this contract
+0.01 cap-years of surplus ≈ +$530K
Judged as-of — each season priced with only the model and data available then — Dysin Mayo has delivered 0.01 cap-years more value than he's been paid across our data window. One cap-year = a full season's salary-cap ceiling.
Low-confidence total — thin or short seasons drive a large share of the swing, so read it with caution.
- Andreas Englund +$796K
- Noah Juulsen +$671K
- Dennis Cholowski +$1.3M
Why this verdict
Why this verdict
Where this contract sits vs. the market
Each dot is a real free-agent signing (2015-2026): 613 comparable defense deals. The line is the going rate at each talent level, the market convention we price against. Real signings scatter around it; comparable players don’t all sign for the identical number.
The page’s headline verdict, +$1.2M/yr, refines this by adjusting the market rate for age, contract term. The plot compares to the raw market curve; the verdict adjusts it.
Structurally similar active deals
This contract sits in the Veteran depth region of the contract map. These are the active contracts whose shape is nearest to it, closest in spend, term, age, and role (not how they aged):
- Andreas Englund $775K +$796K
- Noah Juulsen $900K +$671K
- Dennis Cholowski $775K +$1.3M
- Philippe Myers $850K +$1.0M
- Colton White $775K +$1.2M
- Uvis Balinskis $850K +$1.2M
Comparable by the shape of the deal, not by team or playing style. Archetypes are broad regions on a continuum; a deal near a boundary is genuinely in-between.
Outlook
Outlook
Past his peak window
Production index for defensemen. The dot marks Dysin at age 29.
Empirical production-by-age index (delta-method WAR fit, 2010-11+). Illustrative of typical aging; the dollar model prices age with a separate, softer decline.
Full stats
Full stats
Limited career 5v5 sample — a teammate-adjusted (RAPM) impact needs more ice time than this player has logged, so we don't show a point estimate yet. It appears once career 5v5 ice time clears the reliability floor.
Counted outcomes — totals and rates that carry shooting and goaltending luck.
| Season | GP | G | A | P | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8.4 |
| 2022-23 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11.7 |
| 2021-22 | 67 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20.9 |
On-ice shot shares and modeled expected goals — these stabilize faster than goal totals, but xG is an estimate, not a count.
| Season | CF% | xG | xGF |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-26 | 70.8 | 0.1 | 1.4 |
| 2022-23 | 39.7 | 0.5 | 4.1 |
| 2021-22 | 40.0 | 2.7 | 44.9 |
- CF%
- Corsi-for percentage — share of shot attempts while on the ice
- xG
- Individual expected goals from the player's own shot attempts
- xGF
- On-ice expected goals — team's xG while this player is on the ice