LAK

Corey Perry

Los Angeles Kings RW Age 41 UFA

2025-26· Data as of July 27, 2026

$2.0M AAV

1 Years Left

UFA Expiry

Status derived from CBA rules; edge cases (Group 6 UFA, 10.2(c), 35+ contracts) may be misclassified. Years remaining are not yet tracked.

73 Value Score

73rd percentile among forwards

Verdict Full-season sample

Underpaid by ~$2.0M/yr

$126K $6.0M

$1.0M Cap Hit 1.0% of cap

$3.0M Fair Value 2.9% of cap

ret Cap hit shown is the effective figure after retention — $2.0M face, 50% retained by Los Angeles Kings.

Fair-value range $840K – $5.3M

Pending unrestricted free agent (UFA) This is a rating, priced in dollars — what the model rates his on-ice value at. It is not a forecast of what he'll sign for. See the projected signing price on the Free-Agent board.

Pay Delta +$2.0M +2.0% of cap

Career ledger 2014-15 onward · 11 seasons in window

−0.18 cap-years of deficit ≈ −$12.6M

Judged as-of — each season priced with only the model and data available then — Corey Perry has cost 0.18 cap-years more than he's delivered across our data window. One cap-year = a full season's salary-cap ceiling.

Partial history: this counts only seasons from 2014-15 on. Corey Perry's earlier years — including any cheap entry-level and prime seasons — are before our data window and are not in this total.

Comparable deals

Anze Kopitar −$3.9M
Claude Giroux +$2.3M
David Perron −$1.5M

See all comparable deals →

Why this verdict

Where this contract sits vs. the market

Each dot is a real free-agent signing (2015-2026): 1082 comparable forward deals. The line is the going rate at each talent level, the market convention we price against. Real signings scatter around it; comparable players don’t all sign for the identical number.

Pay, % of cap

← lower talent higher talent →

Cap hit $1.0M Market rate $3.4M +$2.4M vs. the open market

The page’s headline verdict, +$2.0M/yr, refines this by adjusting the market rate for age, contract term. The plot compares to the raw market curve; the verdict adjusts it.

Structurally similar active deals

This contract sits in the Veteran depth region of the contract map. These are the active contracts whose shape is nearest to it, closest in spend, term, age, and role (not how they aged):

Anze Kopitar C · LAK · UFA $7.0M −$3.9M
Claude Giroux RW · OTT · UFA $2.0M +$2.3M
David Perron LW · OTT · UFA $4.0M −$1.5M
James van Riemsdyk LW · DET · UFA $1.0M +$1.7M
Jonathan Toews C · WPG · UFA $2.0M +$157K
Jamie Benn LW · DAL · UFA $1.0M +$2.4M

Comparable by the shape of the deal, not by team or playing style. Archetypes are broad regions on a continuum; a deal near a boundary is genuinely in-between.

Career Trajectory

Reading this verdict

The range reflects pricing-model error, not measurement — fair value is a modeled estimate. The sample badge reflects games played, not dollar accuracy.

Outlook

Contract Outlook — Projected 1 season · 2026-27–2026-27

Future contract years valued by aging the player's current form forward against a projected salary cap — projections, not measurements. Each year carries a calibrated low–high range beneath its projected value — wider the further out the year runs and skewed downward to reflect players who leave the league. Confidence drops the further out they go, and the least predictable cases (elite players, goalies) show a wide insufficient comparable signings band rather than a precise figure. See the methodology.

This is a value trajectory, not a signing-price forecast — it does not apply the same-year discount the Free-Agent board uses for market timing and age risk. If a season below is also this player's free-agent year, expect the two pages to disagree; both are answering different questions.

Season	Cap Hit	Proj. Fair Value	Verdict
2026-27	$1.0M	$3.7M $1.6M–$6.4M	Leaning underpaid	near-term projection

Aging Curve

Production index for forwards. The dot marks Corey at age 41.

Empirical production-by-age index (delta-method WAR fit, 2010-11+). Illustrative of typical aging; the dollar model prices age with a separate, softer decline.

Full stats

Season Stats

Career xG IMPACT/60 0.2

On-ice expected-goals impact per 60 — RAPM-adjusted (teammate- and competition-adjusted) where career 5v5 ice time clears the reliability floor, a raw on-off xG differential otherwise. Not wins. The RAPM figure is career-pooled (one value across seasons); the on-off fallback shows the most recent season.

Production

Counted outcomes — totals and rates that carry shooting and goaltending luck.

Season	GP	G	A	P	TOI
2025-26	72	17	20	37	13.7
2024-25	81	19	11	30	11.9
2023-24	54	12	10	22	13.4
2022-23	81	12	13	25	11.6
2021-22	82	19	21	40	13.5
2020-21	49	9	12	21	13.7
2019-20	57	5	16	21	13.7
2018-19	31	6	4	10	14.8
2017-18	71	17	32	49	17.8
2016-17	82	19	34	53	17.7
2015-16	82	34	28	62	17.7
2014-15	67	33	22	55	18.1
2013-14	81	43	39	82	19.5
2012-13	44	15	21	36	19.1
2011-12	80	37	23	60	21.4
2010-11	82	50	48	98	22.3
2009-10	82	27	49	76	21.1
2008-09	78	32	40	72	18.6

On-ice & expected

On-ice shot shares and modeled expected goals — these stabilize faster than goal totals, but xG is an estimate, not a count.

Season	CF%	xG	xGF
2025-26	50.0	18.2	58.1
2024-25	54.6	16.9	57.5
2023-24	50.2	12.2	40.0
2022-23	50.7	14.4	56.0
2021-22	50.8	21.0	66.5
2020-21	51.4	8.0	29.5
2019-20	48.1	9.6	46.3
2018-19	47.4	6.6	21.4
2017-18	47.4	20.8	73.9
2016-17	50.4	27.7	82.4
2015-16	51.6	27.9	82.2
2014-15	50.7	26.6	66.2
2013-14	52.6	42.2	103.0
2012-13	52.4	17.4	46.5
2011-12	53.0	35.6	95.1
2010-11	46.7	40.9	110.3
2009-10	50.1	—	109.6
2008-09	56.4	—	95.9

CF%: Corsi-for percentage — share of shot attempts while on the ice
xG: Individual expected goals from the player's own shot attempts
xGF: On-ice expected goals — team's xG while this player is on the ice

Usage vs. Value

Limited minutes, strong number.

Among forwards this season, Corey's even-strength ice time ranks in the 18th percentile, while our value score puts him at 73. That's a gap of −55 — the coach is leaning out relative to our number.

5v5 usage percentile value score

5v5 TOI/GP: 10:50
Usage percentile: 18
Value score: 73
Primary PP usage: 16%
Primary PK usage: 0%

Where even-strength ice time and our value score disagree — descriptive, not a verdict. Our number doesn't yet adjust for role or power-play usage.

Ranked #6 on the forwards Usage vs. Value board. Usage is even-strength (5v5) ice time per game.

The value score is percentiled across the full position group, while the deployment percentile is taken over the eligible subset — the two aren't measured over the identical population.

Playoff track record

Raises his game in the playoffs (83rd percentile for his caliber)

Caliber-adjusted +0.47/60 83rd percentile among veteran playoff scorers

Raw vs regular season −0.26/60 2.18 playoff · 2.45 regular-season pts/60 · 46th pct

209 playoff games · 15 postseasons

Descriptive only — not part of Value Score or Fair Value. Playoff samples are small and team-dependent; shown for the record.